Trump is content with only the support of his base

The poll numbers for Donald Trump’s first month in office are anemic. New first year presidents in recent history have always started off with a substantial positive bump. George W. Bush had an approval rating of 57 percent in his first month in office. Barack Obama was at 68 percent, Bill Clinton at 58 percent. Richard Nixon started at 59 percent. Trump is at 45 percent approval in the Real Clear Politics average of polls. Pew and Gallup have recently had him at 42 and 43 percent respectively. A president’s approval numbers usually trail down after the beginning of a new term. Trump’s numbers have already dropped during his first month in office. Continue reading

Betting on the Trump administration; Cuomo at the ECDC fundraiser; Niagara County politics; free tuition

The Trump regime

Today, February 15th, is the 27th day of the Trump regime. Why does it seem like an eternity already?

All new administrations have a honeymoon period; a break-in period; and a denouement period. The first two usually stretch one hundred days or more; the latter, if lucky does not happen until years three, four, or five of an administration. For the Trump team the honeymoon period was over almost before it began. The break-in period will probably last four years, assuming the administration lasts that long. The denouement has started already. Continue reading