On civility, politicians, and owning up to what you do or say; gubernatorial candidates and other such things

First, a brief Alabama limerick from Politics and Other Stuff editor Paul Fisk:

                Twice kicked from the bench he did sit on

                Roy Moore chose the Senate to bid on

                Now they showed him the door

                And so much for Roy Moore

                And the same to the horse he rode in on

WOW! 

                        Decency wins (Senator Jeff Flake)

The Buffalo News ran an interesting interview this past Saturday with former members of Congress John LaFalce and Tom Reynolds. It was just as I would have expected from these two old friends – staking out their respective political positions but nonetheless remaining civil and respectful of the other’s positions. I would say how welcoming, except that these fellows are not in Congress anymore.

Political discourse in the United States has been trending down a long and slippery slope for quite a while now. Cable news and the internet have had a lot to do with these developments and there is no good way to put the genie back into the bottle. The vitriolic climate encouraged by Donald Trump over the past two and a half years has pushed negative things at warp speed.

On Sunday Bob McCarthy’s column in the News featured a discussion about how two prominent local Trump supporters, Nick Langworthy and Michael Caputo, are holding fast to their support of Trump in the face of strong political headwinds. They say that Trump is being Trump, and they seem to feel that he should be credited with disrupting the political atmosphere, pretty much just for the sake of disrupting. But Langworthy, Caputo and others in the Trump camp seem to prefer generalities while mostly ignoring or accepting what Trump does or says. My religion and philosophy professors at Canisius used to frown on transactional morality.

Trump personally takes no responsibility for anything. Everything is someone else’s fault. Everything that does not get reported the way he would prefer is “fake news.” His minions, such as Sean Spicer, Sarah Huckabee Sanders and most everyone else who works for him, buy into that line, except maybe for Rex Tillerson (“moron”) and Nikki Haley (“the women are credible.”)

Most active Republicans, including the two local gentlemen, have had no problem over the years repeatedly attaching Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi to every Democratic candidate who ever took a breath. So here’s some news for my Republican friends: it works both ways.

Donald Trump is now the leader of the Republican Party. While he takes no responsibility for what he does or says, he is responsible. And so are his followers, who overwhelmingly support the lies and personal attacks that come out of his mouth and from his phone every day.

The McCarthy column reports Langworthy’s view that the Alabama election is of no real concern in New York State. Wrong, Nick. You promote him and support him and so, by affiliation, you have adopted what the leader of your party is selling. And no, Nick, the tax bill is not going to make everything great. Support or acceptance of the Trump-Moore axis means not only accepting the sexual harassment and assault issues, but also the other Moore stances that neither Trump nor anyone nationally or locally in the Republican Party have renounced, such as the Moore statement suggesting death for gay men and women; opposition to women or Muslims holding public office; ignorance of the Constitution; and stating that the last time America was great was when slavery was practiced in this country.

When the leader of the Republican Party goes in hook-line-and-sinker for an ignorant pedophile in a race for the United States Senate in Alabama, it does have consequences here in Western New York. In analyzing the most recent local elections it is popular, particularly among Republicans, to attribute the small but nonetheless larger than expected voter turnout, and the close results and Democratic victories in many races, to union interest in defeating the proposed constitutional convention issue. That played some part, but it is just as likely that negative Trump feelings in the suburbs had as much or more to do with the Democratic success.

Roy Moore is attached to Trump and they are in turn attached to local Republicans as much as Clinton and Pelosi are attached to Democrats. Live with it, guys. You bought into this new Republican Party and all that comes with it.

The race for governor and other things

As Andrew Cuomo fends off an investigation into his office, a difficult budget preparation and a pending corruption trial of associates, the Republicans cheer on their potential candidate, businessman Harry Wilson. Apparently seeing an opportunity, former Erie County Executive Joel Giambra is now mulling joining the race.

Giambra has little name recognition outside of Western New York, and in Western New York, where his name recognition is greater, it may not be a positive benefit. Giambra’s work as County Executive led to the financial collapse of the county in 2005 and the creation of a State Control Board to oversee the county’s budget. Giambra works for Cuomo-pal Al D’Amato. Just wondering: is there some level of intrigue playing out among those characters?

There has also been some internet chatter about former Republican Congressman Chris Gibson entering the race. Gibson voluntarily left Congress in 2017 after serving three terms. Excuse the yawn.

As for the FBI investigation into Cuomo’s office, there are not, of course, any details about what’s going on. On the surface it is hard to understand what the big deal is about moving departmental staff to the Executive Chamber, or what, for that matter, is the federal issue involved.

Whether there turns out to be a real contest for governor or not will likely be determined by January when Wilson announces his decision. After that, it’s either “game on” or “wait until next time.”

That, in turn, might have some effect on the leadership of the State Republican Party. Ed Cox has accomplished nothing as chairman, so he could be out next fall. There were Republican losses from Nassau to Erie County last month, so someone emerging as an alternative to Cox might also have some explaining to do. Don’t be surprised to see Nick Langworthy in the state chairmanship mix next September.

Two versions of taxes, budgets and fiscal responsibility; some facts and heard-on-the-streets; Grant tops Langworthy

The United States Senate this past Friday completed its version of their so-called tax reform legislation. The 500 page bill was prepared entirely by the Republican Majority in the Senate; no Democrats allowed. It was approved in the dead of night, with last minute amendments hand-written illegibly in some cases. Lobbyists had copies of the bill before senators did. The legislation will increase the national debt by one trillion dollars over the next ten years.

The Erie County Legislature later this week will likely unanimously approve a 2018 Erie County Budget. The budget will include some extra money for ECC as well as a few minor amendments that add a handful of jobs and provide funding to community organizations. The typed changes to County Executive Mark Poloncarz’s original proposal were offered by both the Republican Majority caucus and the Democratic Minority caucus. The meeting will occur in the middle of the afternoon. The budget will be balanced.

The United States Congress still has a few pesky things to do to finish up their fiscal work. They need to reconcile the House and Senate versions of the “tax reform” legislation, which they will wrap in a few days (just in case their pedophile candidate loses his Senate race in Alabama). They need to keep the government running for a few days. They need to fund Obamacare if they are true to the Republican commitment to Senator Susan Collins. They need to soon raise the national debt limit, plus a few other things like continuing health care for the nation’s poorest children. All of these things will be hard for the congressional majorities to do, since fiscal responsibility is only a slogan for them, not something they live by.

The approval of the balanced 2018 Erie County Budget is basically wrapped up, including tax decisions, spending priorities and capital projects for the year. It’s done that way because state law and county law require balanced, on-time budgets.

The so-called federal tax reform will do great damage to many taxpayers in New York State. The likely finished bill will, for example, limit deductions for state and local income and property taxes to $10,000. This is what is refer to as SALT – state and local taxes. The cutback in this deduction will take a lot of deduction dollars away from a lot of people, so what we will be left with will be a pinch of SALT.

Standard deductions will be raised, but personal deductions will be deleted, so a family with two or three children will probably lose out in the tradeoff. Reducing the attractiveness of itemizing deductions means hurting charities everywhere. Graduate school students, college employees and teachers will lose their tax breaks. Local governments and school districts will lose the ability to re-finance debt when interest rates fall, which will hurt taxpayers.

New York State is a revenue donor state to the rest of the country, so while New Yorkers are dealing with the consequences of “tax reform,” farmers in Nebraska will still be getting their subsidies and our cash will flow to places like Texas which needs to rebuild because they were careless enough to allow thousands of people to build homes and businesses on flood plains.

But in Erie County, which is bound to follow the laws which require fiscal responsibility, budgets are approved and taxes are being set in a rational and sane manner.

Congressman Collins and his allies in the White House and Congress have sold Western New York and the rest of the state down the river. I guess Chris learned nothing about fiscal responsibility from his time as Erie County Executive.

The Republican Party is serving as enablers to the mad man who sits in the White House. But the base, that famous base, the Trump base, is happy. So to hell with the country as long as the base is happy. Sad!

Some facts and some heard-on-the-streets

Final 2017 campaign financial reports have been filed. Some highlights:

  • Erie County Comptroller Stefan Mychajliw spent a total of $129,986 in his campaign, which he won by a comfortable 55-45 margin, the largest of the three contested countywide elections. His committee was left with a balance of $10,821. Expect a Stefan for County Executive organization to be put together in 2018, in preparation for 2019.
  • New Erie County Clerk Mickey Kearns spent $118,859 in his campaign, which he won 52-48 with a plurality of 7,383 votes. His campaign balance is $7,691, which he will immediately need to build up for the 2018 election for a full four year term. He will face an election turnout in 2018 that will be larger countywide, but more importantly, larger in the City of Buffalo, than it was this year.
  • Sheriff Tim Howard was re-elected to a fourth term by a 51-49 margin and a victory by just 3,389 votes. He spent a total of $339,972 in 2017 and has a balance of $7,357.
  • County Legislature Majority Leader Joe Lorigo was re-elected by a 55-45 margin, with 2,574 more votes than his opponent, Michele Schoeneman. Lorigo spent $119,818, an extraordinary sum for a county legislative race. The race was highly negative.
  • County Legislature Minority Leader Tom Loughran was re-elected by a more impressive 57-42 margin (2,769 votes) against an opponent whose campaign was dominated by negative advertising. Loughran only spent $26,803.
  • Newly elected County Legislature John Bruso was elected by a small margin, 51-49 (453 votes) in another campaign that was marked by a load of highly negative advertising by incumbent Ted Morton.

Grant wins over Langworthy

While the elected officials noted above were the main features of the 2017 elections in Erie County, a secondary contest was playing out. Political consultants Chris Grant and Nick Langworthy were collecting big money in the local campaigns. Langworthy is, of course, also the Republican County Chairman.

During the 2017 election cycle in the County, Grant’s Big Dog Strategies collected $175,890 in fees and other payments from local candidates that included Stefan Mychajliw ($99,890), Joe Lorigo ($3,500), Dennis Gaughan ($37,500), Tim Howard ($20,000) and Acea Mosey ($15,000). Big Dog was also paid $107,236 by the New York State Republican Committee, which produced significant mailings for the Town of Amherst candidates.

Langworthy’s Liberty Opinion Research produced $154,129 in local revenues from candidates including Mickey Kearns ($91,815), Joe Lorigo ($20,000), Real Conservatives ($30,000), Michael Ranzenhofer ($8,814) and Dennis Gaughan ($3,500). I do not recall any local party County Chairman ever having campaign work paid to a consulting firm that he owns.

Speculation and rumors

  • The two prime candidates for Chairman and Majority Leader of the County Legislature, which will switch to Democratic control in January, are current Minority Leader Loughran and Legislator Peter Savage. Savage has the edge for Chairman.
  • The two prime candidates for Minority Leader of the Republican Caucus in the Legislature are rumored to be Kevin Hardwick and Ed Rath.
  • Stories are circulating that outgoing Hamburg Town Supervisor Steve Walters may be in line to be appointed attorney for the town, while defeated Republican candidate for Supervisor Dennis Gaughan could get a deputy town attorney appointment. Democrat Jim Shaw will be the new Supervisor but the Republicans will control the Town Board.
  • Perennial Town of Tonawanda candidate Kevin Stocker may be taking another shot at political office in 2018, once again challenging State Senator Chris Jacobs, but perhaps this time as the member of a different political party.
  • The Bills will be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs on Christmas Eve, which would seem to be very appropriate.
  • The Sabres were mathematically eliminated from the playoffs a couple weeks ago. Okay, that is not technically correct. The real date will be sometime in early February.

So an ex-con, an establishment Republican and a holier-than-thou judge walk into a bar

Okay, they didn’t walk into a bar. They literally or figuratively walked into the offices of Trump brain and evil mastermind, Stephan K. Bannon.

The characters in question are former Staten Island Congressman and current candidate for Congress from the same district Michael Grimm; defeated Virginia gubernatorial candidate Ed Gillespie, a man whose work in the Bush Administration, as Republican National Committee Chairman and as a lobbyist, defines “establishment Republican;” and Roy Moore, the twice-removed Alabama judge who now is running for the United States Senate from that state. Continue reading

On to the general election; consequences of the Trump-Russia scandal; Theodore Roosevelt and the NFL

Okay, everyone take a deep breath and then we’re off to the races in November.

Well, okay, at least try to pretend that you know there is an election in six weeks and what it is all about.

Except in cases where there is not an incumbent in office, Election Day 2017 is looking like – nothing. There are no hotly contested campaigns. There are no issues that anyone other than a dyed-in-the-wool political junkie could identify. It’s almost like an incumbent protection program. Continue reading

Republican Senators singing like canaries in Trump’s coal mine

Canary in a coal mine – Wiktionary

An allusion to caged canaries that miners would carry down into the mine tunnels with them. If dangerous gases such as carbon monoxide collected in the mine, the gases would kill the canary before killing the miners, thus providing a warning to exit the tunnels immediately.

Donald Trump supports coal mines. Donald Trump, as president, promises to restore thousands and thousands of jobs to an industry whose better days are long gone. But Trump does not understand the value of a canary in a coal mine. Continue reading

The Republican commitment to enacting Trumpcare comes to a fork in the road; In Memoriam, Father Vincent M. Cooke, S.J. and Bill Mariani

So this is what all the waiting was for? A warmed over hybrid of Obamacare and the House “repeal and replace” bill is all the United States Senate Republicans could come up with? They hid in a secluded room for weeks to produce this?

I’ll give them this: amending Obamacare is hard and complicated work. Who knew? Continue reading